**What if I told the chances of winning the lottery were 3%?**

That’s true if you evaluated the chances of winning out of context. You don’t really have a 3% chance of winning, **you have a 3% chance if you’re one of the lucky 294,000,000 that get the first 5 numbers right.**

For COVID in Kentucky, you don’t have a 2% chance of dying (the current Case Fatality Rate that is down from nearly 7% in May). **You have a 2% chance of dying if you are one of the 0.9% of Kentuckians that have contracted COVID.** That makes the real chance of surviving COVID in KY 99.98%. If it gets 10 times worse the real chance of surviving will be 99.83%.

The real data as of 8-24 is below. Being scared of the high death rate is a lie and an intentional choice of fear over truth. **Context matters.**